A Return To Plus/Minus
- The Powder Keg
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After Robert Morris started the Northeast Conference slate 0-2, Andy Toole lamented how many of his players were negatively impact the team. He specifically cited the woeful plus/minus rate of his bench, as everyone except Lucky Jones was in the red in that specific stat.
How do the numbers look now? Well, it's no surprise they mirror Robert Morris' turnaround.
First, for those who need refresher on the stat, a definition. Its purpose is to figure out the overall impact of a player on his team's successes and failures. It calculates the point spread for when he's on the court. If his team scores more points than the opposition, he'll have a positive plus/minus. If his team falls behind, he'll have a negative plus/minus. You add up his positive stretches and negatives throughout the game to calculate the total for a game. You can then add those individual game numbers together and divide by the number of games he's competed in to get an accurate reflection over the course of a whole season.
First developed for the NHL, it's now become commonplace in the NBA and is creeping into college basketball. By no means is it a perfect stat, but it offers a glimpse into
evaluating a player for more than just points, assists, turnovers, etc.
With the aid of sites like StatSheet.com and Kenpom.com, ColonialsCorner
has compiled each Robert Morris player's plus/minus average. This takes
the total plus/minus number and divides it by the number of games each
player has played, allowing it to account for injuries.
Math is not our strong suit here at ColonialsCorner, but we double and triple-checked our calculations. Here's what we came up with for the final regular season plus-minus numbers. Also included are where each player stood the last time we did this, back when RMU was 0-2.
Velton Jones - plus-6.5 (previously was plus-3.4)
Coron Williams - plus-5.8 (previously was plus-1.3)
Russell Johnson - plus-5.5 (previously was plus-0.9)
Lucky Jones - plus-5.5 (previously was plus-2.1)
Karvel Anderson - plus-4.3 (previously was plus-2.6)
Mike McFadden - plus-3.7 (previously was plus-3.1)
Stephan Hawkins - plus-2.4 (previously was minus-1.7)
Anthony Myers-Pate - plus-1.5 (previously was minus-2.2)
Keith Armstrong - plus-1.0 (no ranking previously due to injury)
David Appolon - plus-0.8 (previously was minus-2.2)
Removed from list: Vaughn Morgan, who was at minus-5.2 but is no longer part of the team.
What It Means: Velton Jones was the leader the last time around, and it's no surprise that he's continued to have a major impact. Jones is an extension of Toole on the court, demanding defensive effort and smart plays on offense. Though he's been hurt, RMU is clearly at its best when he's on the court.
Just as important has been Russell Johnson and Lucky Jones turning things around. Jones was benched for a game after that 0-2 stretch, while Johnson suddenly tuned it on. It's no surprise then to see them have two of the largest jumps among the entire team. But a little surprising is seeing how high Coron Williams' numbers are despite some inconsistencies on offense. It's a sign that perhaps Williams has been better defensively than any numbers or reputation would suggest. When he's on the court, his group isn't being burned defensively.
But equally important is the bench. Every single player is now a positive influence, even though Armstrong and at times Appolon have minimal numbers and impact. The best signs are Hawkins and Myers-Pate, two crucial bench players RMU has needed to lean on for depth and significant minutes.
It's just one stat, but it showcases how complete Robert Morris' turnaround has been and how miserable the Colonials were in mid-January.
How do the numbers look now? Well, it's no surprise they mirror Robert Morris' turnaround.
First, for those who need refresher on the stat, a definition. Its purpose is to figure out the overall impact of a player on his team's successes and failures. It calculates the point spread for when he's on the court. If his team scores more points than the opposition, he'll have a positive plus/minus. If his team falls behind, he'll have a negative plus/minus. You add up his positive stretches and negatives throughout the game to calculate the total for a game. You can then add those individual game numbers together and divide by the number of games he's competed in to get an accurate reflection over the course of a whole season.
First developed for the NHL, it's now become commonplace in the NBA and is creeping into college basketball. By no means is it a perfect stat, but it offers a glimpse into
evaluating a player for more than just points, assists, turnovers, etc.
With the aid of sites like StatSheet.com and Kenpom.com, ColonialsCorner
has compiled each Robert Morris player's plus/minus average. This takes
the total plus/minus number and divides it by the number of games each
player has played, allowing it to account for injuries.
Math is not our strong suit here at ColonialsCorner, but we double and triple-checked our calculations. Here's what we came up with for the final regular season plus-minus numbers. Also included are where each player stood the last time we did this, back when RMU was 0-2.
Velton Jones - plus-6.5 (previously was plus-3.4)
Coron Williams - plus-5.8 (previously was plus-1.3)
Russell Johnson - plus-5.5 (previously was plus-0.9)
Lucky Jones - plus-5.5 (previously was plus-2.1)
Karvel Anderson - plus-4.3 (previously was plus-2.6)
Mike McFadden - plus-3.7 (previously was plus-3.1)
Stephan Hawkins - plus-2.4 (previously was minus-1.7)
Anthony Myers-Pate - plus-1.5 (previously was minus-2.2)
Keith Armstrong - plus-1.0 (no ranking previously due to injury)
David Appolon - plus-0.8 (previously was minus-2.2)
Removed from list: Vaughn Morgan, who was at minus-5.2 but is no longer part of the team.
What It Means: Velton Jones was the leader the last time around, and it's no surprise that he's continued to have a major impact. Jones is an extension of Toole on the court, demanding defensive effort and smart plays on offense. Though he's been hurt, RMU is clearly at its best when he's on the court.
Just as important has been Russell Johnson and Lucky Jones turning things around. Jones was benched for a game after that 0-2 stretch, while Johnson suddenly tuned it on. It's no surprise then to see them have two of the largest jumps among the entire team. But a little surprising is seeing how high Coron Williams' numbers are despite some inconsistencies on offense. It's a sign that perhaps Williams has been better defensively than any numbers or reputation would suggest. When he's on the court, his group isn't being burned defensively.
But equally important is the bench. Every single player is now a positive influence, even though Armstrong and at times Appolon have minimal numbers and impact. The best signs are Hawkins and Myers-Pate, two crucial bench players RMU has needed to lean on for depth and significant minutes.
It's just one stat, but it showcases how complete Robert Morris' turnaround has been and how miserable the Colonials were in mid-January.